๐Ÿ›๏ธ ALC Meeting Summary: Arkansas Faces Revenue Timing Shifts and Forecast Revisions

Date: May 22, 2025
Location: Arkansas Legislative Council Meeting


๐Ÿ’ฐ Revenue Report Highlights

Dr. Carlos Silva of the Bureau of Legislative Research delivered the April 2025 General Revenue Report:

  • Gross General Revenues: $6.8 billion (๐Ÿ“‰ down $361.5M, or 5%)

  • Net General Revenues: $5.4 billion (๐Ÿ“‰ down $224.7M, or 3.9%)

๐ŸŸก Reason for decline: Primarily due to reduced corporate and individual income tax collections.

๐Ÿงพ Additional Notes:

  • A large shift in forecast figures was mentioned, but it's now outdated due to a new forecast issued by DFA.

  • The drop was attributed to changes in corporate and individual tax timingโ€”not a long-term loss, but a delay in receipts.


๐Ÿงฎ Secretary of DFA Explains New Revenue Forecast

Jim Hudson, Secretary of the Department of Finance and Administration (DFA), elaborated:

  • Tax Filing Deadline Shift: Due to disaster declarations, Arkansas extended the tax deadline to July 31, 2025, which pushed payments into FY 2026.

    • This creates a temporary drop in FY 2025 revenue, not a lossโ€”"just a timing issue."

    • A truer picture of FY revenue will emerge by August or September.

  • Revised Forecast Issued:

    • Statutorily required update issued May 21.

    • Projected revenues for FY 2026 and FY 2027 were lowered, based on macroeconomic trends.

    • Factors include:

      • Slowing GDP projections

      • Market uncertainty over tariffs, even though many have not yet taken effect

      • Analysts reduced forecasts due to global economic concerns, not current state economic conditions.

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Hudson emphasized potential upside for Arkansas agriculture if trade deals open more export markets.


๐Ÿ“Š Other Financial and Oversight Motions

  • Committee Fund Allocations for FY 2026 were approved.

  • Special funding requests approved:

    • $5,000 increase for the State Board of Chiropractic Examiners (via supplemental Peer Review item).

  • Discussion of DFA fine increases: A 156% spike in fines, penalties, and court costs was noted. DFA to investigate and report cause (unclear if due to enforcement changes or a few large cases).


๐Ÿงพ Subcommittee Reports with Fiscal Elements

  • Peer Review Committee: Approved temporary appropriations and American Rescue Plan / Infrastructure Act appropriations.

  • Review Subcommittee: Sent a controversial in-state contract with Aptus Financial to the Personnel Committee for further vetting.

  • Personnel Subcommittee: Reviewed compensation changes for the Department of Public Safety.

  • State Insurance Oversight: Approved formulary and drug policy updates for EBD.


๐Ÿ“ Interim Studies and Reports

  • Interim Study Proposal ISP 2025-004 was referred to the House Agriculture, Forestry, and Economic Development Committee.

  • Teacher and Public Employee Retirement System investment reports were filed as reviewed.