
The bad news: SNAP is about to cost the state a lot more money — potentially more than $50 million a year if Arkansas doesn’t lower its error rate. The state is already looking at at least $25 million in new costs under the One Big Beautiful Bill (HR1).
The good news: SNAP operations are “effectively back to normal,” officials said, after the federal shutdown delayed November benefits by about a week.
On Monday, the Arkansas House and Senate Joint Public Health Committee zeroed in on HR1 and its sweeping new rules that could leave Arkansas on the hook for tens of millions of dollars if the state can’t rein in its SNAP error rate.
DHS Secretary Janet Mann and SNAP Director Mary Franklin opened with a quick status update: SNAP is fully operational, November benefits are out the door, and daily case approvals are back on schedule. Deloitte, the state’s system integrator, made required programming changes during the shutdown at no additional cost, which lawmakers appreciated.
But the conversation quickly shifted to HR1 and what it means for the state budget in the coming years.
Under HR1, Arkansas will face two major financial changes:
Beginning October 1, 2026, states must cover 75% of administrative costs, up from the long-standing 50–50 split.
Arkansas’ estimated price tag: about $25 million a year.
Starting October 1, 2027, states will begin contributing directly to benefit costs based on their error rate:
Arkansas is currently sitting at 7.01% — better than last year’s 9.56%, but still higher than the federal threshold.
At today’s rate, Franklin said, Arkansas would owe around $25 million annually. A 9–10% rate would cost significantly more, and DHS agreed to calculate those additional scenarios for lawmakers.
Franklin explained that SNAP errors fall into two categories:
Crucially, federal law counts both agency and client mistakes against the state. Even if a client fails to report wages, the error still inflates Arkansas’ error rate.
Right now, DHS estimates a 60/40 split — with more errors caused by the agency than by clients.
That drew sharp concern from Rep. Howard Beaty, who said the situation is “a huge problem” now that federal law ties accuracy to state costs.
DHS outlined several steps underway to bring the rate down:
The takeaway: Arkansas is improving, but not fast enough to avoid major financial hits if the rate stays above 6%.
HR1 also expanded SNAP work requirements beginning November:
No one has lost benefits yet because the three-month window has not closed. DHS expects meaningful numbers early next year.
Lawmakers asked whether Arkansas has early data on recipients losing benefits due to the new rules. Franklin said not yet. Because recertification happens every six months, and the work-rule clock only started in November, meaningful numbers won’t appear until after the New Year.
Enrollment has remained steady at 243,000–247,000 individuals throughout the past year.
What emerged from today’s meeting is a clear picture of the pressure HR1 places on states:
For Arkansas, the most immediate question is whether the state can push its error rate below 6% in time — and whether its current mix of training, audits, technology upgrades, and caseworker support will be enough to avoid a series of multimillion-dollar budget hits.